Preparing to chase on 4/8/2011

This is certanly not the best set up I have ever seen but it is one which we will be chasing nonetheless.

Models are forecasting a decent capping inversion to be in place during the early afternoon, but erode it away in places along a dry line running through Central Oklahoma. The most recent run of the NAM has actully pushed the dry line further east before stalling it in the evening. The seems to me to indicate some possible lift along it.

Dry Line position by 7pm can be clearly seen here.

CIN looks to be weakest near and north of Oklahoma City. But is weak all along the dry line.

There does appear to be some kind of disturbance moving through at 7pm in the 500mb level.

From what I can understand most think that this will not be much of an event. But given the strength and amount of deep layer shear Supercell storms would be likely if convection can develop. I think we will be targeting Ardmore Oklahoma to start with and then see where to move from there.