Forecast (12:00 AM to 11:59 PM):
High: 51ºF Low: 34ºF Peak Wind: 15kts Precipitation: 0”
High: 51ºF Low: 34ºF Peak Wind: 15kts Precipitation: 0”
Discussion:
With the subsidence moving in in wake of the 500 mb vorticity maxima, the atmosphere should dry out allowing for clear skies and decent solar heating.
With the subsidence moving in in wake of the 500 mb vorticity maxima, the atmosphere should dry out allowing for clear skies and decent solar heating.
The trickier part of this forecast will be the rate of continuing cold air advection tonight counteracted by continuous mixing of the boundary layer and insulating clouds. I don't think it will get to 34 degrees tonight but it may very well get that cold by 12:00 AM Christmas Day due to clear skies and light winds. Tomorrow, the wet ground will play some role in counteracting the heating but it looks like there is a decent chance to break 50ºF given it stays a little warmer tonight than the NAM indicates. I will keep the peak wind at 15 kts for this period.
For grading purposes see the 3 day history from the KTKI ASOS station.
These measurements tend to differ from what gets used in the climate report but it is all I can find to go off of for now.
Looks like the high for yesterday was 54ºF, the low 44ºF (so far), the peak wind 22 kts, and the precipitation 0.47".
It will be interesting to see if the low will drop below 44ºF just before midnight tonight.
And given that precipitation is generally the most difficult thing to forecast I am pretty happy with 0.47".
For grading purposes see the 3 day history from the KTKI ASOS station.
These measurements tend to differ from what gets used in the climate report but it is all I can find to go off of for now.
Looks like the high for yesterday was 54ºF, the low 44ºF (so far), the peak wind 22 kts, and the precipitation 0.47".
It will be interesting to see if the low will drop below 44ºF just before midnight tonight.
And given that precipitation is generally the most difficult thing to forecast I am pretty happy with 0.47".
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